Today I will be presenting at at the Mathematical Biosciences Institute at Ohio State University which this week is hosting the workshop Recent Advances in Statistical Inference for Mathematical Biology. I will be giving a talk about Hiroki’s work (abstract here and below), while Dorota will be presenting a poster about her work.
I am very excited about this workshop as it is the first to my knowledge to bring together mathematical modelling with statistical inference. In my view, this marriage is crucial to the future development of mathematical biology as a field.
Dynamical (differential equation) models in molecular biology are often cast in terms of biological mechanisms such as transcription, translation and protein-protein and protein-DNA interactions. However, most molecular biological measurements are at the phenotypic level, such as levels of gene or protein expression in wild type and chemically or genetically perturbed systems. Mechanistic parameters are often difficult or impossible to measure. We have been combining dynamical models with statistical inference as a means to integrate phenotypic data with mechanistic hypotheses. In doing so we are able to identify key parameters that determine system behaviour, and parameters with insufficient evidence to estimate, and thus make informed predictions for further experimental work. We are also able to use inferred parameters to build stochastic and multi-scale models to investigate behaviour at single-cell level. We apply these ideas to two systems in microbiology: global gene regulation in the antibiotic-resistance bearing RK2 plasmids, and zinc uptake and efflux regulation in Escherichia coli.